middle brow citizen how.

happy to lose. if to be found.

there's this silly thing in american law. i shouldn't say it's silly. i should just say it's intentional. and not ubiquitous across countries. and that's the *beyond a reasonable doubt* standard. ... it's a very high standard. it's often used in criminal law because we value freedom so much that we want to be absolutely certain someone is guilty before taking it from them. but just because it's one standard utilized in the criminal justice system does not make it the only standard worth utilizing ever. e.g., the *preponderance of the evidence* standard is often used in other situations. and sometimes courts are simply concerned with whether something is reasonably likely to be true.

here's what's not reasonably likely to be true (a text i received from a ...... family member recently): If you put all the pieces together here's what you get. The DNC rigs the Democratic Primary Election against Bernie Sanders so Hilliary can win the nomination. Obama's administration starts to request surveillance on Trump, his family, his transition team, and anyone associated with him. Donna Brazil gives Hilliary the questions to a debate. The DNC pays Christopher Steele to come up with a smear dossier about Trump. John McCain turns the fake dossier over to the FBI, knowing that his move would cause a major investigations that would split the county in two. The mainstream media releases a taped conversation about Trump talking about grabbing women parts. After all this Trump still wins the General Election. Obama orders an investigation into Russia meddling in our elections. Obama changes Executive Order 12333 to allow more agencies to have access to surveillance data. The Democratic Party comes up with a scandal that Trump Colluded with Russia to win the election with no evidence or proof. This wild claim is backed up by the mainstream media. Obama hold overs start unmasking Trump's transition team and staff members then release the classified information to the mainstream media. Why? Because the DNC and the Obama administration colluded with the intelligence community to thwart Trump's campaign efforts to get him elected president. All this Russia collusion is an attempt to cover up the fact that the Obama administration, the intelligence community, the DNC, along with the mainstream media used our nations surveillance as a political tool to try to get Hilliary elected President. This makes Watergate look like a kindergarten play.

this was sent to me after the mueller report was released. notice how long it is? how reasonably likely is it all to be true?

now. on the contrary. how reasonably likely is this to be true: the russians wanted a manipulable president. donald trump owed them money, so they offered to help him win the presidency. he gracefully accepted their help.

notice how short that story is? and how likely it is to be true? ... now, is it true beyond a reasonable doubt? i reckon not, as it's pretty tough to find a smoking gun for this type of crime. but... does a preponderance of the evidence show this to be true? or, at least, is this reasonably likely to be true? i mean, who knows? wouldn't there be meetings (yes!) and emails (yes!) and phone calls (yes!) all suggesting this is true? would someone really thoughtless (his dipshit son? his shoddy lawyer? his greedy campaign manager? himself?) even say things in public to encourage or suggest collusion? 

i’d say yes. i think that the chances are extremely high that donald trump cheated to win the presidency. and sold out our country to the russians. and should be impeached and thrown in jail. ... he’s been committing serious crimes his entire life. without suffering any consequences. because he has money. 

he shouldn’t have gotten within miles of an NBC tv show, much less the presidency. what a country! no room for improvement here!

but i digress. the big point is: YOUR OPINIONS SHOULDN’T BE HELD TO ONE LEGAL STANDARD!!!!! if you think donald trump worked with russia, we’ve seen that that’s reasonable. if you think that american teen from seattle murdered that italian kid, we’ve seen that that’s reasonable. if you think michael jackson sexually assaulted a teen under his supervision, we’ve seen that that’s reasonable. ... now, if you believe that 9/11 was a conspiracy, you’re daft. the evidence for that reads sorta like the paragraph above. conspiracies require you believe that powerful humans are total geniuses and total idiots at the same time. ... like hillary clinton concocted this massive, monstrous, diabolical plan. and executed it with like forty other tight-lipped geniuses. but then they couldn’t figure out a way to get secret emails to her personal computer without getting caught?

but tell yourself whatever you gotta to sleep at night. sleep is more important.